Showing posts with label Nat Gas. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nat Gas. Show all posts

Thursday, July 9, 2009

What is Natural Gas Telling US?

Natural Gas has not been acting right at all or has it? The persistent weakness in this commodity should be a clear sign of the deflationary pressures I have been speaking about.

It can only really be telling us one of two things.

One: Every asset class out there when looked at in terms of Nat Gas are completely overvalued.

Two: Nat Gas is the buy of the century.

Given analysis of other factors in the economy I would be inclined to go with option number 1. I will say I believe Nat Gas has indeed run too far too fast to the downside, but buying Natural Gas would only be a good idea if you where hedged correctly across the entire commodity complex and other asset classes as well. However I think it would be dangerous, as it has been, to attempt to bottom fish this commodity on pure price speculation.